Our Rubicon Moment?

Friends asked me to discuss the “constitutional crisis” that the media seems to think is imminent.

My starting point is to explain that the Constitution is not static. It has changed in big and small ways; scholars have identified three major constitutional transformations.

The first came before we even had a national constitution. The newly-independent states were bound together by the Articles of Confederation, which were not considered adequate for governing the emerging nation. Therefore, men got together in 1787 in Philadelphia ostensibly to reform those Articles. Instead, they drafted a new constitution which was adopted by the requisite nine states the next year. A new government came into being. Our government today depends on that eighteenth century document, and it is controlled by the constitution much as it was back then.

Early on that founding document was seen as needing changes. Some states only ratified the Constitution with the understanding that a Bill of Rights would be added. The first Congress proposed twelve amendments, ten of which were adopted and went into effect in 1791. These additions mostly announced rights people assumed they already had and did not change the structure of the government. However, a decade later a major flaw in the document was exposed by the election of Thomas Jefferson and Aaron Burr. As a result, the Twelfth Amendment was adopted modifying the electoral college. From its inception, therefore, the Constitution has been subject to change.

The first significant transformation of the Constitution, however, came from the Civil War and its aftermath. The war occurred partly because of a major flaw in the document itself. Instead of confronting the issue of slavery, the founders tried to avoid it or make feeble compromises about it. As a result, slavery was not merely a stain on the fabric of the Constitution but woven into it. Various factions pulling at the threads and cords of slavery from all directions challenged the constitution, and war came.

In the war’s aftermath, three amendments to the Constitution were passed. The Thirteenth Amendment abolished slavery. The Fifteenth Amendment granted Black males, but not women of any color, the right to vote. These two amendments were transformative, but they were only partially successful. Slave-like practices continued to exist in the country, and within a decade of the adoption of the Fifteenth Amendment, the right to vote was stripped from most Blacks.

The Fourteenth Amendment, although it has several provisions, reshaped our Constitution by commanding that no state “shall deprive any person of life, liberty, or property without due process of law; nor deny to any person within its jurisdiction the equal protection of the laws.” The original Constitution did little to constrain the states in their treatment of inhabitants. The Fourteenth Amendment, as interpreted by the Supreme Court, changed that. For example, the Court held that the amendment’s due process clause prevented a state from taking a person’s property without just compensation. In the early twentieth century it held that the state could not abridge free speech. Over time, the Court increasingly prohibited the states from interfering with rights guaranteed in the Bill of Rights. The Court, relying on the Fourteenth Amendment, also said segregated state schools were unconstitutional and that states must afford one person, one vote. The constitutional crisis of the Civil War produced a Fourteenth Amendment that transformed the relationship between courts and individuals by expanding and clarifying constitutional rights.

The next major constitutional transformation came during the Great Depression. The Supreme Court had found unconstitutional many state and federal laws regulating businesses. This crescendoed during Franklin Roosevelt’s first term when the Court deemed unconstitutional much New Deal legislation that had been passed by Congress to alleviate the harsh economic conditions. FDR responded by proposing that the Court be expanded. Critics called it “court-packing.” Although the causes are debated by historians, lo and behold, after the court-packing proposal, some justices modified their opinions and now upheld federal powers to regulate business and other activities. The Civil War transformation expanded judicial powers to protect individuals and entities from the government. The Great Depression transformation expanded the power of the federal government to regulate activities affecting “interstate commerce,” which has been broadly defined. The decisions of the New Deal Supreme Court provide the basis for much of the federal government’s regulatory power today.

So. Are we now in the midst of another constitutional crisis? Are we due for another constitutional transformation? I see not one possible scenario, but several.

Conservatives look at our government and see a bloated bureaucracy that was not contemplated by the Constitution. It is entrenched but not elected. That bureaucracy, though authorized by Congress and the president, often seems to act independently of Congress and, more importantly, the president. Although it appears to be part of the executive branch of the government, the bureaucracy often sets and follows its own guidelines and policies. Thus, conservatives see a bureaucracy that is too often resistant to the policies of the president, and they find this in violation of the constitution. This unconstitutionality in the conservative eye must be put to rights. A constitutional transformation is needed to restore the balance that our Constitution contemplates where the president sets and enforces executive branch policies. And, under Trump, conservatives maintain we are seeing the beginning of that needed constitutional transformation.

On the other hand, some, but not all, liberals see a different potential constitutional crisis. Many of Trump’s actions and orders, they claim, have been in direct conflict with specific provisions of the Constitution (e.g., birthright citizenship), have been in violation of the separation of powers, or have violated the constitutional duty of the president to “take care that the laws be faithfully executed.”  And while conservatives see a constitutional crisis in an unelected bureaucracy, liberals see a crisis in the unfettered authority exercised by an unelected Elon Musk who has not been appointed to a Senate-confirmed position the Constitution seemingly requires.

Other liberals may be concerned about the administration’s actions, but they don’t see a present constitutional crisis. They see the system working because the courts have been hearing challenges to Trump’s and Musk’s orders. This is the normal constitutional process, and Trump has said that he will follow the judicial process. Almost all the court rulings have been in the federal district courts, which are the lowest level of federal courts. Following decisions in the district courts, those findings can be appealed to the Court of Appeals. Then the losing litigant may seek to have the Supreme Court hear the matter. (There is no right to have the Supreme Court hear these cases; it is in the Court’s discretion.) Many maintain that as long as this process is being followed, there is no constitutional crisis.

Even so, liberals who don’t see a present crisis, are concerned about a future constitutional transformation. Many, probably most, constitutional scholars believe that under existing Supreme Court rulings, many of Trump’s actions violate the Constitution or existing laws. The first fear is that the current conservative Supreme Court will ignore or overturn the precedents and uphold Trump’s actions. That is, that the Supreme Court will reinterpret the Constitution and laws to give the president even more power than he now has. This will, in effect, remake the Constitution by taking away congressional authority and individual rights and make an already powerful president even more powerful. As it did with its presidential immunity decision, the Supreme Court could transform our government to make the president more kingly, more authoritarian.

The other liberal fear is not of the Supreme Court but of Trump himself. Even though he has said otherwise, the fear is that Trump will either not use the appellate process and just keep bulldozing ahead, or even if he does follow normal procedures, he will not obey Court orders that go against him. He will ignore or defy the judiciary. Of course, he said he wouldn’t do that, and he did not disobey the courts in his first term. However, those around him have suggested that he will this time if courts don’t rule his way. And just as you can find Trump statements that he will honor the judicial process, like the devil quoting the Bible, you can find other Trump pronouncements, such as his recent statement: “He who saves his Country does not violate any laws.”

Presidential defiance of the courts would be a true constitutional crisis, perhaps a fatal one. His recent statement about not committing illegalities when saving the country is ascribed to Napoleon, but precedents go back further into history. Julius Caesar broke the law and illegally marched his troops, loyal to him more than to the nation, across the Rubicon and into Rome. The fall of the Roman Republic began, and a dictatorship took its place.

Laws Changed by the Few

In a pseudonymous essay written as the American colonies moved towards independence, John Adams wrote that a republic is a “government of laws, not of men.” He was contrasting a system with a despotic emperor who is “bound by no law or limitation but his own will.” In contrast, Adams wrote, a republic “is bound by fixed laws, which the people have a voice in making.”

Following Adams, we often proudly proclaim that the United States is a nation of laws, not of men. The Supreme Court is about to begin a new term. This should remind us that it is only partially true that we are a nation of fixed laws. Instead, our laws change through the actions of a handful of people who sit on the Supreme Court.

We have seen dramatic evidence of that recently, but this is not new. Franklin Roosevelt’s plan to expand the Supreme Court was triggered by the actions of Supreme Court men. (We didn’t believe in women justices in those days.) As Jeff Shesol writes in Supreme Power: Franklin Roosevelt vs. the Supreme Court (2010), between 1933 and 1936, the Court overturned congressional acts at ten times their traditional rate often citing long-neglected doctrines. The Court frequently breathed new life into obscure clauses of the Constitution in order to abolish the democratically enacted laws of the New Deal. Indeed, it was the Chief Justice at the time who made the statement affirming that our fundamental law is a law determined by a few. Charles Evans Hughes said, “We are under a Constitution, but the Constitution is what the judges say it is.” Evans could have said something similar about many of our laws.

It is fair to wonder whether the judges use neutral legal doctrines to alter our law or whether it is their politics or economic viewpoints (or what they ate for breakfast as one legal scholar has suggested). A study a few years after John Roberts became Chief Justice found that the Supreme Court under Chief Justice Earl Warren found in favor of businesses 28% of the time. That rate increased to 48% under the Burger Court; 54% under the Rehnquist Court; and 64% under the Roberts Court. (Justice Antonin Scalia voted for criminal defendants in non-white-collar crimes 7% of the time, but in white collar crimes 82% of the time. William Rehnquist voted 8% of the time for criminal defendants in non-white-collar crimes, but 62% of the time for white-collar defendants.)

Despite the slogan that we are a nation of laws, it is clear that we do not really believe that. Confirmation battles over Supreme Court nominations demonstrate this. We believe that people who constitute the Court can determine the law. (The myth is that ideological contention over Supreme Court nominations began with Robert Bork, forgetting that the earlier nomination of Abe Fortas as Chief Justice was the first Court nomination to be defeated by a filibuster. As I have written, Bork was not “borked,” but myths continue to live on even when false. See AJsdad.blog of September 3, 2018, “Borked! Really?”)

We have tended to focus on the United States Supreme Court when considering how a few individuals determine our law, but increasingly there are battles over state supreme courts as well. Several decades ago “tort reform” became a political issue. The law of torts governs who should pay and how much when someone is injured. With the claim that recoveries for injuries were harming both the economy and healthcare, business, manufacturers, medical institutions, and insurance companies targeted the nominations and elections of state supreme court judges. Money poured into the selection processes. What had been a backwater of our political system now saw contentious advertising and campaigns because the powerful knew that our laws were not immutable.

Today the battles over state supreme court nominees focus on abortion and gerrymandering. Last spring Wisconsin had a costly election for its supreme court. The court was viewed as equally split between conservatives and liberals, and the newly-elected judge was expected to be the deciding vote on abortion and gerrymandering. Pennsylvania has a similar election coming up this fall.

Even though our history shows otherwise, the statement is still often repeated that America is a nation of laws, not of men. Perhaps the powerless have always known that this is a myth. Thus, a character in James McBride’s new novel The Heaven and Earth Grocery Store utters a truism that goes beyond race: “‘White folks’ laws,’ Nate said softly, ‘The minute you leave the room, the next white fella comes along the law is how he says it is. And the next one comes along and the law is how he says it is.’”

The moneyed and the powerful try to shape supreme courts so that the few can alter the law in ways that the rich and powerful want. And these days, they are often successful.

Stitching a Different Supreme Court Nine

This blissful time when the Supreme Court is not rendering decisions is an opportunity to think about the Court’s structure. Proposals to enlarge the Court have been met with claims of a “coup” to destroy the judiciary and a plot to harm “our democracy.” The Supreme Court is an important American institution. It is, however, one of our least democratic ones.

The Supreme Court, of course, is not an elected body. They are appointed by a president (who was elected) and confirmed by a Senate (also an elected body), but once in office, they are not answerable to “the people.” Unlike other appointed officials, they are not subject to removal if administrations or Senate composition change. Justices may sit for thirty or more years and make decisions for decades after the officials who appointed and confirmed them have left office. Their rulings affect Americans who were not even eligible to vote for the president and the senators who appointed and confirmed them. In short, the Supreme Court is not a democratic body. Indeed, in finding enacted laws unconstitutional, it is often acting anti-democratically.

Furthermore, many do not see the Supreme Court as a neutral, thoughtful legal body, but a political one. Such a notion finds traction any time a presidential candidate pledges to appoint Justices not just for their legal acumen or wisdom but also for their perceived views.

The Supreme Court is an important institution but not a perfect one, and perhaps it can be made even better. What is clear, however, is that a change in its size and the timing of who will be on the Court will not destroy or harm democracy. And Justices with life tenure will still have independence.

The Constitution does not define the number of Supreme Court Justices. It merely says: “The judicial Power of the United States shall be vested in one supreme Court, and in such inferior Courts as the Congress may from time to time ordain and establish.” Although the Constitution never expressly gives it the authority, Congress sets the size, which has varied from its original six until after the Civil War when it was set at nine, where it has stayed ever since. That number has seemed sacrosanct since FDR’s failed attempt to expand the Court in 1937.

The Court in the 1930s had found many pieces of New Deal legislation unconstitutional. As Jeff Shesol reports in Supreme Power: Franklin Roosevelt vs. the Supreme Court (2010), the Supreme Court between 1933 and 1936 overturned congressional acts at ten times the historic rate, often using long neglected doctrines and breathing new life into obscure Constitutional clauses to do so. Roosevelt then sought an expansion of the Court. Although Roosevelt gave varying nonpolitical reasons for his plan (What a shock! A politician being disingenuous!), the assumption was that he wanted more Justices so that he could appoint sympathetic people, who would uphold legislation passed by Congress and signed by the president. Or as one might put it, accept democratically enacted laws.

Roosevelt’s proposal was soundly defeated after much rhetoric about his threat to our constitutional government. While FDR’s plan failed by a resounding vote, ultimately he was the winner, and the Supreme Court and conservatives the losers. Here’s why. Soon after the proposal to enlarge the Court was presented, the Court began to uphold New Deal legislation with logic inconsistent with its previous holdings. To many the Court seemed to be bending to political winds, and the perception of it as a partisan institution increased. The proposal to enlarge the Supreme Court did not put Roosevelt in a good light. However, it also put the Court in a­ bad light when its questionable constitutional interpretations of the early 1930s became recognized as the overreach of biased judges reacting to legislation they did not favor.

Any suggestion since then to expand the Court has met with outcries that our constitutional way of life will be overthrown. Adding Justices only seems to be a partisan power play and not something that could improve justice, the Court, or the perception of the Court.

Current Court decisions, however, as has been true for much of our history, are seen not as neutral constitutional and statutory rulings but as the imposition of personal, political, and increasingly religious views of the judges and those who placed them on the bench. We can’t remove politics from Supreme Court decisions. On some level, all government decisions are political, and the Court is not immune. Writing about a famous case, legal scholar Fred Rodell said, “Both the plaudits and the deference, like the decision itself, and like every significant Supreme Court decision since, were and are rooted in politics, not in law. This only the ignorant would deny and only the naïve deplore.” This may be so, but that does not mean that we should just throw up our hands and accept an overly partisan Court. Instead, in examining proposals for reforming the Supreme Court, we should be seeking ways to make it look, and perhaps be, less politically biased and more politically neutral.

Merely expanding the Court is not a particularly good solution. If Democrats added more Justices, Republicans would be urged to do something comparable when they have the opportunity. Other proposals, however, offer institutional changes in the timing of Supreme Court nominations that, even though they would lead to a larger body, could make the Court appear, and perhaps be, less partisan. I have not studied them all, but one plan has intrigued me. This is not my own plan. I read this proposal, or one much like it…somewhere. I have searched for it, but so far have not found it again. I apologize for not giving proper credit to its initiator.

Here is the idea behind the proposal: Each president gets to appoint one Supreme Court Justice every two years, starting perhaps on the July 1 after the presidential term begins. Of course, since Justices can sit on the Supreme Court until death or resignation, the Court could have an increasing number of judges, which could become unwieldy. For a given case, nine Justices would be picked at random from all the Supreme Court judges. Many courts already operate this way. Intermediate appellate courts, such as the federal Courts of Appeals, have panels of three judges deciding a case but have more than that number sitting on that court. From the larger panel of judges, the requisite number are selected to resolve a case. For example, the Second Circuit Court of Appeals has thirteen fully active judges, but normally only three decide a case. The court can, therefore, take on more cases and decide them more quickly. Similarly, a Supreme Court that had more than nine judges could consider more cases than it does now. If, for example, the Supreme Court had fourteen justices and nine decided each case, then the Court should be able to accept for review fifty percent more cases than it does now. Fewer Court of Appeals decisions, which are sometimes inconsistent from circuit to circuit, would stand as the final result in a litigation. This could give more certainty, uniformity, and finality to the law.

This would also dampen lawyerly gamesmanship. Deadlines are in place to seek Supreme Court review. If they are not met, the lower court decision becomes final. So, for example, if a party has been ordered to pay $1million or to serve a twenty-year sentence, the money must be paid or the imprisonment served if the petition for Supreme Court review is not timely filed. The litigant cannot wait for a change in Court Justices hoping that they will receive a more favorable chance in front of a newly-constituted Supreme Court.

Unlike individuals, some institutions can delay Supreme Court review until the time seems propitious. For example, assume the government has lost a tax case concerning some new scheme to avoid taxes. Government attorneys may believe that if they get immediate Supreme Court review, they will lose the case before the existing Supreme Court thereby allowing a precedent to be set that allows the scheme to be used by other taxpayers indefinitely. Instead, the government may decide not to seek review in hopes that the makeup of a future Court may be more amenable to its contentions. It may be better for the government to let that individual taxpayer keep the contested moneys to avoid a bad precedent and instead seek review with some other future taxpayer when the Court makeup is different. The government can take the longer view than an individual litigant.

Other institutional groups also try to time Supreme Court review. These institutions represent a cause more than an individual client. Prime examples are the NAACP or the ACLU, but this list now includes a host of conservative organizations as well. These advocacy groups often seek judicial review only when they assess the Supreme Court lineup as favorable to their position. We can expect to see that gamesmanship being played repeatedly in the coming years. With Barrett’s ascension to the Court, conservative legal organization see a solid majority favoring certain kinds of religious claims and Second Amendment expansion, and they will now seek to get Supreme Court review of cases containing such issues.

Such gamesmanship only furthers the notion that it is not truly the Constitution or the law that determines an issue, but the personal predilections of the Justices. The intrinsic merits of a legal argument may stay the same, but the likelihood of an outcome can vary depending on the timing of Supreme Court review.

That lawyerly calculus would change, however, if the nine Justices who heard a case were drawn from a larger pool, and the attorneys seeking review did not know who those nine would be. The addition of a single Justice to the Court would not be the momentous event it now often is. I don’t know for certain what result this would have on Supreme Court decisions and the perceptions of those decisions, but perhaps there would be more focus on the issues and less on the judges.

There is also another option if we had a new Justice every two years, and we had a Supreme Court larger than nine. It is the one I find most interesting.

(concluded July 25)

Stitching a New Nine this Time

President Biden has put together a commission to examine the size of the Supreme Court. A bill was introduced in Congress to expand the Supreme Court from nine to thirteen justices. In response, a Republican congressman said the Democrats’ plan is to do as much harm to “our democracy” as possible. I wondered about his definition of democracy for, while the Supreme Court is an important American institution, it is one of our least democratic features.

The Supreme Court, of course, is not an elected body; the Justices are neither voted in nor answerable to “the people.” Since Justices may sit for thirty or more years, they make decisions for decades after the officials who appointed and confirmed them have left office. This can also be long after many  Americans were even eligible to vote for the president and senators who appointed and confirmed them. The Supreme Court is not a democratic body. Indeed, in finding validly enacted laws unconstitutional, it is often acting anti-democratically.

Furthermore, many do not see the Supreme Court as a neutral, thoughtful legal body, but a political one. Such a notion finds traction any time a presidential candidate pledges to appoint Justices not just for their legal acumen or wisdom but also for their perceived views. We know that the backgrounds of possible Supreme Court nominees are analyzed to foretell their ruling on important issues.

If the Court was to be expanded, Biden would be expected by many to nominate people who would rule in a “liberal” fashion, which means that the Republicans will oppose any expansion of the Supreme Court. Unless changes are made to the anti-democratic filibuster rules, a larger Supreme Court is unlikely. Even so, that should not end considerations for reforming the process even if a larger Court resulted. The Supreme Court is an important institution but not a perfect one, and perhaps it can be made even better. What is clear, however, is that a change in its size and the timing of who will be on the Court will not destroy or harm democracy.

The Constitution does not define the number of Supreme Court Justices. It merely says: “The judicial Power of the United States shall be vested in one supreme Court, and in such inferior Courts as the Congress may from time to time ordain and establish.” Although the Constitution never expressly gives it the authority, Congress sets the size, which has varied from its original six until after the Civil War when it was set at nine, where it has stayed since. That number has seemed sacrosanct since FDR’s failed attempt to expand the Court in 1937.

The Court had found many pieces of New Deal legislation unconstitutional. As Jeff Shesol reports in Supreme Power: Franklin Roosevelt vs. the Supreme Court (2010), the Supreme Court between 1933 and 1936 overturned congressional acts at ten times the historic rate often using long neglected doctrines and breathing new life into obscure clauses of the Constitution to do so. Roosevelt then sought an expansion of the Court. Although Roosevelt gave varying nonpolitical reasons for his plan (What a shock! A politician being disingenuous!), the assumption was that he wanted more Justices so that he could appoint sympathetic people, who would uphold legislation passed by Congress and signed by the president. Or as one might put it, accept democratically enacted laws.

Roosevelt’s proposal was soundly defeated after much rhetoric about his threat to our constitutional government. While FDR’s plan failed by a resounding vote, ultimately he was the winner, and the Supreme Court and conservatives the losers. Here’s why. Soon after the proposal to enlarge the Court was presented, the Court began to uphold New Deal legislation with logic that seemed inconsistent with its previous holdings. To many the Court seemed to be bending to political winds, and the perception of it as a partisan institution increased. The proposal to enlarge the Supreme Court did not put Roosevelt in a good light. However, it also put the Court in a­ bad a light when its questionable constitutional interpretations became recognized as being the overreach of biased judges reacting to legislation they did not favor.

Any suggestion since then to expand the Court has met with outcries that our constitutional way of life will be overthrown. Adding Justices only seems to be a partisan power play and not something that could improve justice, the Court, or the perception of the Court. Something like this passage from an email I have just received from a conservative institution will be repeated many times:

Political elites on the radical Left have officially taken the first step in their plot to overthrow the U.S. Supreme Court. With the Biden Administration’s recent announcement of their new Supreme Court “reform” commission, there’s no mistaking it any longer: the extreme Left set its sights on permanently turning our independent judiciary into a tool of raw political power. And now taking it even further, Democrats have filed a bill to add 4 seats to the U.S. Supreme Court. Let’s call it what it is: a coup.

Liberals, on the other hand, have seen the Republican denial of the Merrick Garland nomination and the subsequent approval of Amy Coney Barrett as exercises of raw political power. These moves are seen not as a coup, but as a means of transforming the judiciary into a more partisan institution. A Democratic congressional candidate in the last election, when asked about court packing, said what many others think:

Sure, let’s talk about packing the court. Let’s talk about how Republicans have won the popular vote only 1 of last 7 Presidential elections but have nominated 14 of last 19 SCOTUS picks. Let’s talk about how Mitch McConnell denied President Obama’s appointments of 110 Federal judges, and a SCOTUS appointment. Those 110 appointments were then appointed by President Trump with conservative judges, and the SCOTUS pick denied to Obama was given to Trump. And now, going back on their own rule to not appoint SCOTUS justices in an election year, the GOP wants to appoint a justice in an election year. You can’t accuse Democrats of a hypothetical event that never happened while ignoring the actual court packing done by Republicans.

It seems inevitable that those holding this latter view want to use present Democratic political power to balance the partisan Republican actions. Our country is harmed the more that Supreme Court rulings are seen not as neutral constitutional and statutory rulings but as merely the imposition of personal, political, and increasingly religious views of the judges and those who placed them on the bench. An expanded Court might bring us a more balanced Court now, but ultimately, just as the Republicans have damaged the Supreme Court by their actions, the Democrats may do the same in the name of balance. The functioning of our constitutional government is harmed if we all believe as Roy Cohn did when he said, “I don’t want to know what the law is, I want to know who the judge is.” The Republican actions foster that feeling, and actions to counterbalance them by expanding the Court can do the same.

(continued April 28)